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END 308 - Decision Theory 

Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences · Industrial Engineering (English 30%) · Undergraduate

ECTS: 5 T+P+L: 3+0+0 Compulsory
Coordinator: Doç. Dr. Emine Elif NEBATİ

Course Objective

It is possible for decision makers to follow different methodologies while selecting one choice when there are different alternatives. To explain what kind of systematic procedures are followed by decision makers during the decision processes and to help new decision makers when they are in decision process in business environment are the aims of this course. This course also compares different decision making rules in an objective way. To study the mathematical, statistical, and psychological approaches related to decision making is the objective of this course.

Course Content

In this lecture the subjects such as; the definition of decision making process, basic concept in decision making, modeling and analysis of decision problems, solution methods, decision making under uncertainty, decision making under risk, game theory, evaluation and decision making with qualitative data, multi criteria decision making.

Course Learning Outcomes

  1. Understand and solve Markov decision problems
  2. models with game theory and can choose the optimum decision for decision makers
  3. can explain risk and uncertainty models
  4. Understand Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHS) as a tool for solving multi-criteria decision making problems and apply it to given problems.
  5. Understands the elements of a decision problem, can decide according to different criteria by creating a decision matrix or decision tree.
  6. Classify Decision Making Problems and have knowledge about Basic Decision Making Methods

Core Area Distribution

(46) Mathematics and Statistics%50 (52) Engineering and Engineering Trades%50

Teaching Methods

ExpressionQuestion-AnswerExercise and PracticeGroup StudyCase StudyProblem Solving

Assessment & Evaluation

HomeworkTesting (Essay / Tests: True-Falls, multiple-choice, short answer, matching)

ECTS / Workload

ActivityQuantityDuration (h)Total Workload
Course Duration (Including Exam Week)15345
Out of Class Study Period15115
Midterm212
Quiz000
Assignment155
Practice000
Final155

Course Schedule

WeekSubjectPreparation
1Introduction and Decision Making TheoryLecturer Notes
2A classfication about decision making techniquesLecturer Notes
3Decision Making under UncertainityMain ideas of Decision Making
4Decision Making Under RiskMain ideas of Decision Making
5Decision Trees and AHPLecturer Notes
6AHPLecturer Notes
7Game TheoryLecturer Notes
8Game TheoryLecturer Notes
9Midterm ExamLecturer Notes
10Goal ProgrammingLecturer Notes and Operations Research
11Goal ProgrammingLecturer Notes and Operations Research
12Markov Decision ProcessLecturer Notes
13Markov Decision Process Midterm Exam-IILecturer Notes
14Markov Decision Process Homework PresentationsLecturer Notes
15Data Envelopment Analysis Homework PresentationsLecturer Notes
16Recent Trends on Decision Making Homework PresentationsLecturer Notes